Rates Outlook: Curve influencers

Sam Azzarello: What's next for markets and the global economy after a year defined by escalating tariffs, persistent geopolitical tensions, and the rise of artificial intelligence across industries?

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Warsh Guides Forward Without Forward Guidance

Editor's Note: At 10 PM Beijing time on August 28, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a speech at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium, marking his first address at this prominent annual gathering sin…

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Rates Outlook: An Uneasy Calm

The Federal Reserve's interest rate lift-off in December did little to disturb the uneasy calm that had reigned in financial markets in late 2015. But the new year had a turbulent start, featuring one of the worst stock…

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Crowded Out: The AI Boom Is Reshaping Bond Markets

Southeast Asia's trade-oriented economies are facing a confluence of global trade shocks. The Trump administration in the United States has imposed punitive tariffs while depressed domestic demand in China has led to a …

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3% Real TIPS Yields: Boring but Valuable

Investors face a challenging environment during the second half of 2022, needing to navigate rising interest rates, high inflation and resurfacing geopolitical risks. In the near term, gold will likely remain reactive t…

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Long-End Risks, ECB Conviction and UK Data Tests

Lower Fed hike odds have calmed front-end USD rates, but long-end Treasuries remain vulnerable to higher real yields, fiscal supply pressure and yen spillovers. In Europe, markets remain focused on a September ECB hike,…

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